Climate Change Solutions: Mass Behaviour Simulation
Thursday, July 16, 2009 at 06:51 AM EDT
Saving our planet from catastrophic climate change might require an unprecedented mass co-ordination of all the people our lonely little planet.
However, it requires co-ordinated sacrifice, the west are living unsustainably, the east have not had their fair share yet, Africa is unmanageableâ€¦ how will we pull it off?
Pondering this issue, I am sure none of the experts will have any good prediction of how people will behave â€“ when will the zeitgeist be strong enough to allow governments take the massive steps required? When will china be satisfied that they have pulled up their living standards enough such that it would be fair for them to sacrifice too?
With such imponderables, it seems to me, we might gain some insight if we can create on on-line simulation, a â€˜gameâ€™ if you like, with a large number of participants, each with their own minds, their own priorities, their own feeling of what constitutes justice.
In this game, some would be wealthy, those that had benefited from the industrial revolution, the slave trade, etc, etc, and fiercely protective of their way of life, many more would represent the 3rd world, the developing nations, the disenfranchised, the war-tornâ€¦
These people would thus all live in a 2nd-life style world in which carbon emissions are sure to cause catastrophe (no-one knows when!) but carbon emissions are associated with the luxuries used by the people. Will people be able to co-ordinate themselves to reduce overall emissions? Or will they each take the â€˜every man for himselfâ€™ route, ensuring that the fit survive, but perhaps with a lower total survival rate?
Could such a game be set up?
It would require a committed community of computer experts (which exist) and a committed community of environmentalists (which also exist) â€“ but do they overlap?
How could we go about trying to make this happen?
This article originally appeared on The Provincial Scientist.